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Sam

Joined: 09 Jul 2006 Posts: 8840
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Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2010 8:50 pm Post subject: |
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Spent all night celebrating. Pretty much everything happened like I expected. I won all bets.
This next two-year cycle is also, overall, going to be good. This is the traditional midterm rebound for the minority party plus the compound effect of what happens when all the old fucks truck out to vote en masse and the young people stay home.
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/11/chart.html
which is why I was always saying that these gains were assured.
Take note: whenever a minority party benefits from this effect, it never sticks around for the next presidential election. Ever. :3 |
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nathan

Joined: 10 Jul 2006 Posts: 6269
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Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2010 11:13 pm Post subject: |
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OMG, this could be INCREDIBLY entertaining!
Surely they'll bump him, but one can dream... _________________ All our final decisions are made in a state of mind that is not going to last. - Marky Mark Proust |
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Arc Tempest

Joined: 28 Jan 2007 Posts: 4565 Location: Oregon
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 12:25 am Post subject: |
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In other news, with about 70,000 votes left to tally the Oregonian is calling the race for Kitzhaber. I'm not going to get my hopes up until all is said and done, but it's a hell of an accomplishment if he wins.
Our first third-term governor wins spending nearly HALF the money his opponent did? I'd say that's suitably historic.
Also: There's much hilarity to be had in trying to explain to younger friends (who are freaking out) that the west voting democrat is a fairly new thing and that republicans getting elected is not the end of the goddamn world. _________________ The older I get, the more certain I become of one thing. True and abiding cynicism is simply a form of cowardice. |
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Shadic

Joined: 26 Feb 2007 Posts: 317 Location: Portland State University
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 1:34 am Post subject: |
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| Arc Tempest wrote: | | In other news, with about 70,000 votes left to tally the Oregonian is calling the race for Kitzhaber. I'm not going to get my hopes up until all is said and done, but it's a hell of an accomplishment if he wins. |
Tell me about it. I've been checking the results constantly since last night. He's currently ahead, and all that's really left to count is mother fucking Portland. Aka, liberal central. He's currently got 71% of the vote here. That was enough to give him the lead.
You're welcome, Oregon. Otherwise you would have voted yourself into having an ex athlete who can't make free-throws. |
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Mizike

Joined: 09 Jul 2006 Posts: 5120 Location: Iowa City
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 1:46 am Post subject: |
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| Sam wrote: | Spent all night celebrating. Pretty much everything happened like I expected. I won all bets.
This next two-year cycle is also, overall, going to be good. This is the traditional midterm rebound for the minority party plus the compound effect of what happens when all the old fucks truck out to vote en masse and the young people stay home.
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2010/11/chart.html
which is why I was always saying that these gains were assured.
Take note: whenever a minority party benefits from this effect, it never sticks around for the next presidential election. Ever. :3 |
Politically, I'm right there with you, but this election is a policy disaster (albeit one that was a foregone conclusion).
Lost decade here we come. _________________ Scire aliquid laus est, pudor est non discere velle
"It is laudable to know something, it is disgraceful to not want to learn"
~Seneca |
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Major Tom

Joined: 09 Jul 2006 Posts: 7562
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 3:57 am Post subject: |
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| dudley has conceded oregon |
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Arc Tempest

Joined: 28 Jan 2007 Posts: 4565 Location: Oregon
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 4:32 am Post subject: |
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| Shadic wrote: | | You're welcome, Oregon. Otherwise you would have voted yourself into having an ex athlete who can't make free-throws. |
Wow, the unthinking arrogance in this statement is impressive. Have you considered entering politics yourself? _________________ The older I get, the more certain I become of one thing. True and abiding cynicism is simply a form of cowardice. |
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Dogen

Joined: 10 Jul 2006 Posts: 9308 Location: Bellingham, WA
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 5:04 am Post subject: |
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Who says we have voter turnout issues?
 _________________ "Worse comes to worst, my people come first, but my tribe lives on every country on earth. I’ll do anything to protect them from hurt, the human race is what I serve." - Baba Brinkman |
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mouse

Joined: 10 Jul 2006 Posts: 15457 Location: under the bed
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 5:13 am Post subject: |
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i guess this is why it's a good idea to have a big family.
did the poll worker thing - really high turnout, we were starting to worry we would run out of ballots. statewide, i guess things turned out pretty well - really, really relieved not to have to deal with whitman & fiorina, but of course the republicans did well locally (i'm resigned to the fact that my congressman will remain in office until he is indicted, just like the last one and the one before that - ah, the joys of a solidly republican constituency!)
i was really hoping the congressional results weren't so lopsided....but we will see. as has been said - the republicans can't say they can't do anyting because they are in the minority any more. and it may be interesting to watch the teapartiers who did get elected learn about politics in the real world.
nothing to do now but batten down the hatches and ride out the storm. and hope that sam is right, again. _________________ aka: neverscared! |
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Shadic

Joined: 26 Feb 2007 Posts: 317 Location: Portland State University
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 5:26 am Post subject: |
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| Arc Tempest wrote: | | Wow, the unthinking arrogance in this statement is impressive. Have you considered entering politics yourself? |
Have you considered supporting worse candidates? I think I can manage to be a bit more confident that my electoral choice was the "right one" if the Republicans try and throw a Tea-Partier out there.
I actually like moderates. Real ones who have some opinions leaning both ways, not the "I don't pay any attention to anything outside my own life so I guess I'll listen to the ads" type of "Independent."
Besides, can you point to any part of my statement that was incorrect? Certainly his shooting aptitude isn't to be debated.
Not really considered politics. I'm not a very good sell-out. |
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Arc Tempest

Joined: 28 Jan 2007 Posts: 4565 Location: Oregon
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:31 am Post subject: |
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| Shadic wrote: | | Have you considered supporting worse candidates? I think I can manage to be a bit more confident that my electoral choice was the "right one" if the Republicans try and throw a Tea-Partier out there. |
Are you trying to insinuate I supported Dudley?
Seriously, I'm trying to decipher what the hell this is supposed to mean. _________________ The older I get, the more certain I become of one thing. True and abiding cynicism is simply a form of cowardice. |
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ShadowCell

Joined: 03 Aug 2008 Posts: 5264 Location: California
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:38 am Post subject: |
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| mouse wrote: | | nothing to do now but batten down the hatches and ride out the storm. and hope that sam is right, again. |
oh, don't worry, the storm will be hilarious. Boehner and McConnell will be caught between placating the teabaggers and placating the rest of the country, and there's more of the latter than the former. they may be celebrating now, but they'll soon realize just how fucked they are. and it's not as though Republicans winning the House has somehow made Obama no longer the president and incapable of vetoing stuff--not to mention the Dems still hold the Senate.
as long as you don't expect any new policy, the next couple years will be amusing. |
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Shadic

Joined: 26 Feb 2007 Posts: 317 Location: Portland State University
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:45 am Post subject: |
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| Arc Tempest wrote: | Are you trying to insinuate I supported Dudley?
Seriously, I'm trying to decipher what the hell this is supposed to ean. |
Can't figure out what you were trying to say otherwise. Besides just be annoying, but that's the norm for this place.
Seriously though. The moment Republicans stop putting out absolutely retarded candidates and people manage to vote for them is when I'll be less "arrogant."
Last edited by Shadic on Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:48 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Major Tom

Joined: 09 Jul 2006 Posts: 7562
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:48 am Post subject: |
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| don't know about "for this place," but you certainly haven't changed. |
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Sam

Joined: 09 Jul 2006 Posts: 8840
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Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 6:57 am Post subject: |
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| Mizike wrote: |
Politically, I'm right there with you, but this election is a policy disaster (albeit one that was a foregone conclusion).
Lost decade here we come. |
No, see, think about it. Now the republicans have to at least pretend to govern. They can't say 'the democrats control everything and don't do anything!!1' and our spazzy short term memory world can go: now that the Republicans have control of the House, wheres the jobs? Why isn't the economy fixed yet? Why do we still have a deficit? Why are we still in recession? Are Republicans secretly Muslim and trying to ruin our country? |
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